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Why Cost per Lease is a terrible metric and what you can do about it

Why Cost per Lease is a terrible metric and what you can do about it

Due to our more sophisticated Property Management systems, we are absolutely inundated today with reports. Some of these reports are invaluable and others are a big fat time waster.  One that is given WAY more credibility in this industry then it should is the Cost Per Lease. I can understand from a managing perspective why you want something like this.  Are we spending money on lead sources that aren't producing?  I get it. But seriously folks, measuring this is a waste of your time. 

Daddy, where do leads come from? 

It isn't what it used to be; not anymore.  The internet has completely changed the landscape.  Years ago when someone said they came from the Apartment Guide chances are that was where they found you.  The ONLY place.  Now a days someone might start their apartment search on Google at 11pm in their PJ's on the couch.  By midnight they've seen your property on a pile of different websites and submitted a prospect card through your internet site.  Which source really wins?  There are schools of thought on this one:

  • First source wins.  Whichever source a prospect saw first wins.  I don't know how you track this one.
  • Last source wins This I would think is the industry norm.
  • Average of all sources This is great if you love staring at sources and numbers all day.  Not for the faint of heart.

So we could be starting off with bad data? 

Yup. In addition to figuring out which source gets the prize you also have the unreliability of the prospects themselves. They aren't concerned with how they happened to find you. Only you are. Oh wait.. there's another thing. According to the NMHC Tech Conference from last week, 70% of ad sources are attributed to the wrong one; by our very own agents. Oh brother. 

Does Rent.com setup the appointment, convert them to an applicant, and get them to move in? 

Umm.. no.  That's the leasing agents job.  Using cost per lease as a means of determining your lead budget doesn't take into consideration the effectiveness of any of this.  (Not that it could).  It puts the blame squarely on the source instead of on YOU.  This to me is the biggest problem with CPL as a metric.  It's like blaming the gun for shooting someone.  If you aren't converting... find out why.  Maybe WHAT you're advertising on these sites isn't good enough, is misleading or (dare I say it) your people need some additional training. 

Is Cost Per Lead better? 

Yes... somewhat. As I mentioned already our lead numbers are notoriously unreliable. If you use a lead tracking service and/or a call center you can improve the accuracy of your sources dramatically. (I'm assuming "Last Source Wins") At the NMHC Tech Conference, they discussed trying to keep your cost per LEAD below $50.  Quite frankly if you're spending more than that you've got a serious problem on your hands. Analyze how effective these lead generating sites are at GENERATING LEADS (and at how much money) and leave the conversions to the agents. 

What other things should we be looking at? 

Pull your lead to appointment ratio report, and leads to application conversions. Make sure your agents/managers are doing the best they can to convert as much traffic as they can. Careful though... if you put too much emphasis on conversion you risk the danger of watching your lead numbers decline. Humans have a funny way of not making themselves look bad. It's a fine line. 

Top of the funnel just makes more sense 

Despite the propensity of mislabeling leads you DO need some way of finding out what is and isn't working. I would rather rely on the information at the beginning of the funnel rather than later when there are too many other influencing factors. If a source is more popular after hours and your leasing staff doesn't respond back until late the next afternoon is that the sources fault? If you are a disciple of CPL it sure is. 

CONCLUSION

Cost Per Lease is a horrible metric.  It assumes all of your leads are being "filed" correctly. (They aren't) It doesn't take into account how effective your agents are at converting.  It puts the burden of the blame for non conversion on the sources themselves. This sort of thinking IMO is wrong. Use it if you must but sparingly and only to spot those glaring problems. Don't use it to base your media buy decisions. Would love to hear your thoughts. What do you think? 

Happy renting everyone. 

Thanks for Free Digital Photos.net for the picture.

Also published at BSitko's Multifamily Affairs

 
This comment was minimized by the moderator on the site

GREAT article!

  Daisy Nguyen
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Thanks a lot Daisy! Anything you feel I missed?

  Bill Szczytko
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I agree that it's hard to measure, but I don't think it's something owners & upper management (Your C-suite) will want to understand. They are high level people, and want to know how effectively you are spending THEIR money on marketing. Although I agree with you hole-heartedly, most owners & C-suite people aren't going to try to understand how difficult it is to get a cost per lease.

If you are spending money on a lead source where the supposed "cost per lease" is high - be prepared to explain quickly to your owners/managers/C-Suite why you want to continue to use that source. I have had regional managers quickly and effectively explain this and be able to keep their sources that would "appear" costly. The key is a quick, effective explanation. They don't want a long-winded explanation, and you don't want to bore them! Just state your point and move on. Hope that helps!

  Daisy Nguyen
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Your comment "aren't going to try to understand" is probably a major frustration point for a lot of people. Showing C-levels the cost per LEAD and explaining what your plan will be to maximize them maybe can help with those tough negotiations. You sure are right though... quick, effective explanations that cut through the BS are required. Another tactic could be to disable that report in your Property Management system. Just a thought. Thanks for your comments.

  Bill Szczytko
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First off, I love the train wreck video you plugged in. Nice touch.

So here's my position. With most advertising there is going to be plenty of imperfection. New technology has allowed us to measure things in more detail that happen online, but offline it's always more of a challenge. The way I look at it, we measure these things for trends in marketing. While the data may not be perfect, overtime you can see trends. This is why consistency in marketing is important in my opinion. A one-off campaign will always be difficult to measure, but if you have a consistent program (regardless of precise recording of sources) you should begin to see trends.

Now, that said, I agree that we can have a tendency to give too much credit to the last source. But that is also why studying online traffic, email leads, and phone calls is an important metric in my mind as well. This can help solidify some type of traffic numbers.

So I believe measuring the cost per lease is still a very important metric, but it's important to look at the leads and clicks as well when studying your data. I want the most bang for my buck, and just measuring "leads" doesn't necessarily mean that is getting accomplished. And don't even get me started on Rent.com.

  Mark Juleen
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ou're exactly right about multiple touch points throughout the sales funnel, especially online. Which means that, even if your people *are* tracking lead sources effectively, it's still bad data ... that prospect probably saw you in seven other places before the one they remember when the leasing consultant asks the question in person, but you're only giving credit to the last source. And if, according to the prospect, that source is the property website, then you better be looking at your tracking data to see what site referred them and what keywords they entered to get to you.

In my mind, it's much more effective to look at overall ROI on your marketing spend. Steve Everett from Thies & Talle has an excellent presentation on ROI and marketing analytics here - http://j.mp/iaaudc. Cost per lead is a better metric than cost per lease, but you're still missing pieces ... you could turn off a source that is providing a high direct cost per lead, but come to find out later that that same source was very effective at driving lots of traffic to other sources further down the funnel. At AIM '10, one of the speakers suggested trying "dark period testing" -- turning off a source for a few weeks or months, and seeing how that impacts traffic and conversions. I think it's one of the best ways to tell whether a given source is really contributing to the cause.

Great thoughts ... I'm looking forward to seeing what others have to say about this.

  Mike Whaling
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Agree Mike. Dark period testing really can help tell a story and support trends. For example, we went dark on print about 3 years ago and saw no impact in our traffic. We did enhance our online efforts, but at 50% the cost of print. Huge savings.

However, what led us to going dark was the trend we were seeing in leads and leases going down attributed to the print ads.

Right now we're monitoring trends for traffic that come through from the ILS sites to our J.C. Hart websites. We're finding more and more people converting into physical traffic that visit our property sites, so we feel it's important that the ILSs help drive them there. Right now we're seeing that some ILSs do a much better job than others.

  Mark Juleen
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@Mark: I can certainly buy into your trend argument. Easy to think of CPL as another tool in the toolbox. (but a small tool; like an eyeglasses screwdriver) But boy does it drive me crazy when no other factors are considered. Is it driving traffic to your website? Is the phone ringing more? Etc.. Agree that going dark can help establish these metrics. I frequently use that train wreck gif in the office when something is applicable. Was just looking for the chance to use it on here...
@Mike: Agree about measuring overall ROI. It's harder to spot trends that way but I certainly consider it has another important tool. I raised my hand at AIM and asked a question to Donald Davidoff about the very problem of multiple touchpoints throughout the sales funnel. There's no real great answer for it.

I remember that discussion from AIM about going dark. We are actually in the process of doing that now. The only ILS we are using currently is Rent.com (I will NOT get either of us started on that one Mark), and some of our properties are sparingly using some others (few on Move.com, few on AptFinder) As I've stated around here before; Craigslist is king at driving traffic. Our website has seen a five fold increase because of our heavy usage.

I love Cost Per Lead because that makes sure you aren't paying too much to dump people into your funnel (I recognize that I overuse funnel like some overuse "touchpoint".. ugh... j/k Mike) and the conversion reports to make sure your people are moving them through the process.

One way we help improve our lead accuracy is with LevelOne. Hey Mark are you trying a call center? MUHAHAHA.

  Bill Szczytko
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Great article and comments. If anything, I am more than confused than ever as the best way to measure advertising/marketing effectiveness. Foer my property, I am concerned that we are using too many sources and getting too many leads that we only do a fair to mediocre job handling. For my 400 units,based upon a 51% turnover, I only need to average 20 visitors per week with an average closing ratio of 23% to hold my 95% occupancy. Question: How should I measure each of my sources to make the best cost effective decision?

  Carey Bradburn
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Bill--you do a great job of getting into some great subjects. Keep up the good work. The key is lead follow up. And Bill, in Feb of 2008, I performed a secret shop of your company's portfolio and tracked the agents that followed up. (Happy news for your firm--it was better than the industry average.) (Sad news for the industry--the industry average is 23%.)

The interesting part of all of this is the last post with regard to lead follow up. If any of you have been on the receiving end of my sales process, you know that I follow up with patient persistence. In the world of leasing apartments, though, you need to get that prospective renter while they are in the action mode of selecting a new apartment--like NOW. People do not send e-mails or call properties to see what the weather is like. They are looking for a new apartment, and the agent/property that gets them in the door the fastest has the greatest opportunity to win the lease. And, this is a zero-sum game. The renter is only going to rent one apartment. Consistent lead tracking and follow up allows you to win the lease.

If anyone that reads this would like a secret shop of their portfolio, just let me know. It would be my pleasure to perform one--gratis. The trick is not so much as lead generation as in lead follow up.

  Robert Garcia
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