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Can You Price Apartments Better Than a Machine?

Can You Price Apartments Better Than a Machine?

We know you’re out there – stalwarts and old-schoolers who have yet to adopt revenue management software technologies, the multi-market-cycle, multifamily veterans who can price units better than anyone, and certainly better than “a machine.” Particularly beyond the REIT and national institutional owner set, there still exists (and perhaps rightfully so) a brand of apartment owner operator with such an innate understanding of their comps, demand patterns, exposure, that they’ve got this pricing thing down cold. For those of you who count yourself among this superhuman pricing society, we hereby challenge you. 

Do you have a fail-safe method for pricing apartments with revenue management software? Better yet: do you have a down and dirty simple calculation of a few market metrics that generally prices units just as good or better than a revenue management algorithm? If so, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.. Included in the expanded asset management, NOI and pricing conference sessions at the 2013 Apartment Revenue Management Conference is Can You Beat the System? Human vs. Algorithm, our look into the increasing complex arena where people, software, and pricing intersect, and the areas where both humans and machines may be coming up short.

Can prospects game revenue management software systems to get a lower price? Does pricing transparency substantially impact the demand and booking curves for renewals? How much control do leasing professionals have over pricing and additional fees, and can they manipulate pricing on behalf of prospects or residents? Simpson Housing Senior Vice President of Revenue Bryan Hilton, Carmel Partners Director of Revenue Management Jessica Mills, and Revenue Edge President Stacy Westbay will look at the pros and cons of the latest ways to influence system functionality and address the lingering question of whether or not operators can make better pricing decisions when left to their own devices.

“In the current evolution of revenue management in our companies and our industries, we’re interested in sharing all of the information available and proving out the question of pricing systems working better than rule of thumb, human systems,” says Hilton. 

If you have a rule of thumb that you think meets the challenge, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. and we’ll have our panel take a no-holds barred look at its upside during their presentation.

To access the Can You Beat the System? Human vs. Algorithm presentation or any of the other 16 world-class presentations (not to mention two and a half days of great industry networking), make sure you register for the 2013 Apartment Revenue Management Conference today.

Until then, happy pricing.

 
This comment was minimized by the moderator on the site

In my opinion, a human CANNOT beat a machine in pricing. I've worked with yield management software and know that once you get it fine-tuned, it works--IF it's a solid program, like what Archstone uses. Plus, it's a huge relief when leasing agents can't "cut deals" or have any effect on the pricing. No need to venture into fair housing quicksand.

  Chuck Mallory
This comment was minimized by the moderator on the site

I've been waiting on a post like this for a while. Great job! Here we go...

Humans tend to develop emotional attachments to things they perceive to be "theirs". The Endowment Effect can cause someone to place a higher value (Or lower, depending on the situation) on a product than what the product is actually worth because that person has an emotional attachment. As someone who's set rates for the past 5 years, I can tell you this is a real phenomenon; rate changes tend to take an emotional toll on the onsite staff. Humans also tend to make decisions that benefit themselves rather than the group (See Game Theory); again making an emotional decision.

Yield Management (Not to be confused with Yield Star, which utilizes this theory) cuts through all the emotion and BS. It is what brought the Airline industry to it's heyday in the 1950's and could do the same for the Multifamily Industry. Math doesn't care if you never charge that much for rent before or if one prospect a month back said the rent was too (damn) high. It uses proven statistical methods to maximize your revenue over the span of a year. Or two years or 5 years.

tl;dr : Men lie, women lie, numbers don't lie

  Jason Velazquez

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