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Why a Rising 10-Year Treasury Yield Spells Trouble for Real Estate
Success in real estate isn’t just about timing or trends it’s about understanding the macroeconomic forces shaping capital markets. One of the most critical? The 10-Year U.S. Treasury yield.
When this benchmark rate rises, it triggers a chain reaction across the industry:
1. Mortgage Rates Spike:
Since mortgage rates closely follow the 10-Year Treasury, higher yields mean higher...Why a Rising 10-Year Treasury Yield Spells Trouble for Real Estate
Success in real estate isn’t just about timing or trends it’s about understanding the macroeconomic forces shaping capital markets. One of the most critical? The 10-Year U.S. Treasury yield.
When this benchmark rate rises, it triggers a chain reaction across the industry:
1. Mortgage Rates Spike:
Since mortgage rates closely follow the 10-Year Treasury, higher yields mean higher borrowing costs, reduced affordability, and softer housing demand.
2. Cap Rates Climb:
In commercial real estate, higher yields force cap rates up and property values down. A 1% increase in cap rate can shave millions off an asset’s valuation.
3. Capital Flows Shift:
As Treasury yields become more attractive, institutional capital may reallocate away from real estate, reducing liquidity and slowing deal volume.
4. Sentiment Shifts:
Uncertainty breeds hesitation. Buyers wait, sellers hold firm, developers pause leading to transactional paralysis.
What can we do?
• Underwrite conservatively
• Lock in financing early
• Diversify across asset types and markets
• Educate clients on macro trends affecting pricing
In today’s market, understanding the cost of capital is no longer optional, it’s essential.
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Many Lenders Declined to Lock Rate Last Week Due to Market Turbulence
May Continue into this Week...
Thinking is that a Large Volume of Treasuries were sold into the Market Last Week, Pushing up Yields...so now that gets absorbed and Rates Fall Back...?
We saw the Benchmark 10-year Treasury at 3.89% last week Before Flood of Treasury Sales....we might get back to that rate.....
The Spectator has decided not to update the rates this week as it...Many Lenders Declined to Lock Rate Last Week Due to Market Turbulence
May Continue into this Week...
Thinking is that a Large Volume of Treasuries were sold into the Market Last Week, Pushing up Yields...so now that gets absorbed and Rates Fall Back...?
We saw the Benchmark 10-year Treasury at 3.89% last week Before Flood of Treasury Sales....we might get back to that rate.....
The Spectator has decided not to update the rates this week as it probably wouldn't be correct for long. Lenders are reluctant to quote a rate or lock a rate going into this week.
We have been seeing a cascade of new loan requests ....Remember, we will see more loan requests this year than the Capital Markets can handle. Its a game of "Capital Markets Musical Chairs" don't get caught without a seat!...asks us how we can help make sure you aren't left out in the Cold!
Tracy A. Beer, Sr. / Partner 410-757-2585
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I made these tonight 😍 I love the keychain!! The QR code takes you to our website!❤️ The mini sign may be nice at leasing agents desk in a little bucket or plant so prospects can just scan the code to apply!!
I get that most PET owners think of their four-legged furries as part of the family. But this is entirely different from an assistive animal, support animal, service animal. Groups like this one are harming the industry and ultimately the renters that they proclaim to be helping skirt the system.
I’ve been preaching this to my clients lately — now more than ever, property owners need solid maintenance protocols in place.
With some policies reducing the prompt payment clause to just 180 days, it’s critical to act fast after a storm. If your property has taken any damage, don’t wait — get it inspected.
That’s why we now offer pre-loss inspections and a full assessment of what your policy requires before you ever need to file a claim.
✅ Be...I’ve been preaching this to my clients lately — now more than ever, property owners need solid maintenance protocols in place.
With some policies reducing the prompt payment clause to just 180 days, it’s critical to act fast after a storm. If your property has taken any damage, don’t wait — get it inspected.
That’s why we now offer pre-loss inspections and a full assessment of what your policy requires before you ever need to file a claim.
✅ Be proactive
✅ Document properly
✅ Know your responsibilities
It’s not just about being covered—it’s about being prepared.
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When looking for a place to rent in 2025, people anticipate receiving real-time responses. Today's rental prospects are too impatient and have too many options to be expected to always give a working phone number or email address and then wait to be contacted.
Prospects for rental properties, like the public, have also become tired of leaving their real phone number or email address and then receiving numerous calls and emails later, often well...When looking for a place to rent in 2025, people anticipate receiving real-time responses. Today's rental prospects are too impatient and have too many options to be expected to always give a working phone number or email address and then wait to be contacted.
Prospects for rental properties, like the public, have also become tired of leaving their real phone number or email address and then receiving numerous calls and emails later, often well after finding what they were looking for.
Scenarios That No Longer Work -
1. If you believe that you can capture the prospects phone number and later contact them, then your unaware that many prospects use apps like "Burner", "Hushed" or "Google Voice" that allows them to not have to provide their actual phone number.
2. If you believe that you can email them later, consider many prospects use “email masking”. There are a growing number of services that create disguised or masked email addresses and relay any messages to an actual address using email masking services like "Firefox Relay", "Fastmail", "SimpleLogin", "DuckDuckGo".
If you are not able to capture the immediate attention of prospects and answer property and leasing questions in real time you are falling behind your competitor properties.
I am most likely "preaching to the choir" because surely everyone in this group has seen these changes, but sometimes it helps to remind ourselves of what is and what is not working.
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As a lease up specialist the move in orientation is key, I notice a difference in the overall resident experience when the move in is facilitated, organized, thoughtful and not just key handoff.
If you don’t do a move in orientation you’re failing your property from the start.
I'm often called upon by clients to assist them in making informed decisions regarding roof repairs. The adage holds true - the most costly repairs are the ones that require redoing. It's disheartening that many professionals in the roofing sector lack the necessary training for the repairs they undertake. Personally, I am optimistic about the potential implementation of licensing in Texas this year.
Read Danny Browning post please! Danny YOU are an inspiration!
What if this happened on every property? What if someone from the Corporate Office or your RM would sit you down & say something like this to & your team? How would you feel? Valued? Motivated? Seen? Appreciated?
Good morning wonderful professionals, I hope everyone is well. A massive shift in housing and development may be on the horizon.
Yesterday, Scott Turner, the Secretary of HUD, announced a partnership with Doug Burgum of the Department of the Interior to begin the process of repurposing Federal land for private development.
Leaders of the agencies noted that Interior controls more than 500 million acres of land that could be used to address the...Good morning wonderful professionals, I hope everyone is well. A massive shift in housing and development may be on the horizon.
Yesterday, Scott Turner, the Secretary of HUD, announced a partnership with Doug Burgum of the Department of the Interior to begin the process of repurposing Federal land for private development.
Leaders of the agencies noted that Interior controls more than 500 million acres of land that could be used to address the shortfall of 7 million housing units in the United States.
“Working together, our agencies can take inventory of underused federal properties, transfer or lease them to states or localities to address housing needs, and support the infrastructure required to make development viable all while ensuring affordability remains at the core of the mission,” Burgum and Turner said.
What do you think this means for housing affordability? Can Federal lands be developed in a timely & cost-efficient manner?
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